Purpose

While post-money valuation is a critical measure for teams operating in private markets, the data rarely keeps pace with how often private company value changes. Funding events provide important historical valuation anchors, but between rounds organizations are often left piecing together historical valuations, comparable companies, secondary market transactions, and internal assumptions to estimate current company value.

The Crunchbase Current Valuation Model helps bridge this gap by providing a consistent benchmark, rather than a single definitive answer — for what a private company may be worth today. By applying a consistent methodology across companies, Current Valuation provides a common reference point organizations can use to compare opportunities or alongside their own valuation approaches. Unlike post-money valuation, which reflects company value at a specific funding event, Current Valuation refreshes as new information becomes available.

What Current Valuation Estimates

Current Valuation combines Crunchbase's historical valuation foundation with current private company and market intelligence to estimate company value between funding events.

The Current Valuation Model evaluates a broad range of information, including:

• Funding and historical valuation context
• Financial signals
• Industry context 
• Public or private market comparables
• Proprietary Crunchbase engagement data

Current Valuation estimates are generated for companies whose most recent funding round includes a disclosed post-money valuation, providing a known historical valuation anchor for the estimate.

Understanding a Current Valuation Estimate 

Current Valuation includes a point estimate alongside a valuation range, confidence tier, supporting reasons, valuation comparables, and last-updated timestamp. Together, these outputs provide context into both the estimate and the information influencing it.

Current Valuation is built for explainability. Confidence tiers are reported as high, medium, or low, and reflect the strength of the evidence supporting the estimate. Higher confidence is reflected in a tighter valuation range while lower confidence is reflected in a wider range.

Valuation Comparables show the similar companies, and their revenue multiples, that inform each estimate. They make the benchmark visible: users can see which peers a company is measured against and decide how much those peers reflect their own view of the market. Valuation Comparables are generated as part of Current Valuation and are available only for companies with a Current Valuation estimate.

Why You Can Trust Current Valuation

Crunchbase combines machine learning, proprietary private market data, and validation processes to produce Current Valuation estimates. Estimates undergo automated validation and plausibility checks designed to identify unrealistic or inconsistent values with known company, funding, and market conditions.

Model performance is evaluated against historical post-money valuation outcomes using Median Absolute Percentage Error (MdAPE), a standard valuation-model performance metric where lower percentages indicate estimates closer to observed valuations. 

The Current Valuation Model covers approximately 230,000 funded private companies, with particularly strong performance among companies with more historical valuation data:

• Companies with the strongest valuation context (~80K): Approximately 26% MdAPE or better, supported by stronger historical valuations for the company or its comparables.
• Broader population with stronger valuation context (~150K, including the 80K above): Approximately 31% MdAPE or better.

Every Crunchbase valuation estimate undergoes automated validation and plausibility checks against known company, funding and market conditions. This provides a consistent valuation benchmark for more private companies, including emerging businesses where valuation information can be difficult to obtain.

For investment and strategy teams, Current Valuation provides a more informed starting point for company screening and diligence. By identifying meaningful valuation movement between funding events, comparing opportunities consistently, and pressure-testing existing valuation approaches, teams can prioritize opportunities worth investigating and make decisions with greater context and confidence.

Disclaimer

This content has been prepared by Crunchbase, Inc. (“Crunchbase”) for general informational purposes only. The information contained herein, including the outputs of the Current Valuation Model (the “Model”), is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, financial, legal, investment, or other professional advice.

The Model generates predictions using automated machine learning systems and statistical analysis. Model outputs reflect probabilistic assessments and are not the product of individual human judgment or analysis. Model performance metrics presented herein reflect historical results evaluated against historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Actual results may vary materially from predictions due to changes in market conditions, data availability, model updates, or other factors.

In preparing this document, Crunchbase has assumed the accuracy and completeness of publicly available information and of other information made available to Crunchbase by third parties. Crunchbase has not conducted any independent investigation or verification of such information. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of such information, and nothing contained herein is, or shall be relied upon as, a representation, whether as to the past, the present, or the future. The information provided herein is not a recommendation to purchase, hold, or sell any particular security, nor does it constitute an offer or solicitation of any kind.

Crunchbase reserves the right to modify, retrain, or discontinue any prediction model at any time without notice. Crunchbase assumes no responsibility for updating or revising these materials. To the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, Crunchbase shall not be liable for any damages, losses, or costs arising from or in connection with any use of or reliance on this document or any Model outputs, whether in contract, tort (including negligence), or otherwise. Crunchbase shall have no duties or obligations to any recipient of these materials.

The information contained herein is proprietary to Crunchbase. Any systematic reproduction or commercial redistribution without the prior written consent of Crunchbase is prohibited.

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