Access Crunchbase company predictions powered by proprietary private company data and AI models that help you focus on the companies and decisions that matter most.
With Crunchbase’s Predictions and Insights API package, you have access to Acquisition Predictions data. Acquisition Predictions utilize Crunchbase data, including historical performance, to forecast both the likelihood of a private company to get acquired and the expected timing of that event — providing a probability score, time horizon probabilities, and supporting evidence.
Incorporate predictions into your own internal models and tools to identify opportunities and surface highly relevant companies.
How Acquisition Predictions Work
These predictions are made in two stages:
-
Likelihood Prediction
Crunchbase first evaluates whether a company is likely to experience an acquisition event, assigning a probability score based on historical and real-time indicators. -
Timing Estimation (When Confidence Is High)
If the model’s confidence exceeds a defined threshold, Crunchbase applies additional multi-class models to provide time-based probabilities as to when the acquisition is likely to occur.
These timing predictions are categorized into four ranges:- Within 6 months
- 6–12 months
- 12–24 months
- Beyond 24 months
Acquisition Predictions help teams assess the likelihood and timing of potential acquisition activity — enabling earlier partnership, investment, or exit decisions.
Acquisition Predictions gives you access to:
- Informed Investment Opportunities: Understanding if a company is a strong acquisition target helps anticipate a potential rise in a company’s valuation so you can be ahead of market movements. Make strategic data-driven decisions by examining the probability of predictions and supporting indicators like growing industry or financial growth.
- Risk Management: Knowing a company’s acquisition potential also helps to assess the associated risk of investing in or following a private company. Reviewing prediction probabilities and supporting indicators including partnership announcement and operational changes (be it growth or reduction in operations), can help streamline how you forecast and mitigate potential risks.
- Strategic Planning: Identify acquisition potential early on to help realize the value of investing in a company or to signal planning for an exit. Become more proactive and efficient in tracking company activity and market trends.
The following data will be included with Acquisition Predictions:
- Financial Growth: Increases in revenue, sales, earnings, profit margins, dividends, return on investment, stock performance, commercial contracts, and other key financial metrics.
- Financial Decline: Canceled commercial contracts, bankruptcy, or declines in revenue, sales, earnings, profit margins, dividends, returns, or stock performance.
- Product Usage Growth: Increased product engagement with existing or new features (e.g., WAU, website traffic, app downloads, etc.).
- Product Usage Decline: Decreased product engagement.
- Headcount Growth: Hiring sprees and workforce expansions.
- Headcount Reduction: Layoffs, workforce reductions, or hiring freezes.
- Customer Growth: Increases in the number of customers or users.
- Customer Decline: Decreases in the number of customers or users.
- Market Share Expansion: Growth in market share and entry into new markets or industries.
- Market Share Decline: Reductions in market share or market exits.
- Operations Expansion: Acquisitions of new facilities, enhancements to existing facilities, or expansions into new regions.
- Operations Contraction: Reductions or sales of facilities, market exits from regions, or withdrawals from industries.
- Key Leadership Hire: A new C-level Officer (CXO) was hired recently.
- Runway Speculation: Approaching 18-24+ months since the last funding round, the need for capital may be more probable.
- Media Coverage and Public Sentiment: A sudden increase in media coverage with positive public sentiment recently.
- Growing Industry: Similar companies in the same industry raised funding rounds, got acquired, or had successful exits in the last 6 months.
- Partnership Announcement: A new strategic partnership occurred recently.
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